Meet George Logo
Can I switch?
News

End of the 'Average' Bill: MHHS Changes Everything

Since September 2025, UK business meters have been moving to half-hourly settlement. How MHHS creates winners and losers, and why your load shape now matters.

| 11 min read
Split comparison showing an old estimated electricity bill being replaced by a detailed half-hourly usage chart with time-of-day pricing bands

TL;DR: Key Takeaways

The Change: Moving from “Profile Classes” (estimates) to “Half-Hourly Settlement” (actuals).

The Date: Migration to half-hourly settlement began on 22 September 2025, and Elexon (opens in new tab) expects to complete it in May 2027.

The Smart Meter Rule: From 1 September 2027, new fixed-term contracts for small and medium business sites must include a term that the customer has, or agrees to have, a smart meter or advanced meter installed (DESNZ (opens in new tab)).

The Risk: If you have “spiky” usage during peak times (4 PM - 7 PM), your costs could rise as estimates are replaced by real-time pricing.

The Solution: You don’t need to understand the physics of the grid. You just need a platform that understands your data.


Definition: Market-wide Half-Hourly Settlement (MHHS)

MHHS is a UK regulatory programme that requires all electricity meters to be settled based on actual half-hourly consumption data rather than estimated profiles. Since September 2025, suppliers have begun to know exactly when you use power and price accordingly. Businesses with off-peak usage patterns may see costs fall, while those with peak-time consumption (4-7 PM) may see rates rise. The change aims to create a “Smart Grid” where prices reflect the true cost of generation at any given moment.


What is MHHS? (The “Netflix” Analogy)

Think of the current system like Broadcast TV. Everyone pays the same TV licence, regardless of what they watch or when they watch it. The costs are smeared across the population.

MHHS is Netflix. The grid will know exactly what you used and when you used it, down to the 30-minute window.

Old Way (Profile Class 03/04): Suppliers buy energy based on a generic “shape.” They hedge their bets, adding a risk premium to your unit rate to cover the uncertainty.

New Way (MHHS): Suppliers buy energy based on your actual half-hourly data.

This is driven by Ofgem and delivered by Elexon. Their MHHS programme page (opens in new tab) details the full rollout plan. Their goal is a “Smart Grid” where prices reflect the true cost of generation. If the wind is blowing at 2 AM, power should be cheap. If everyone turns on the kettle at 6 PM, power should be expensive.

Comparison infographic showing the old Profile Class system with averaged usage estimates versus the new MHHS system with precise half-hourly consumption data


The Death of Profile Class 03 & 04

Currently, most SMEs are classified as Profile Class 03 (Non-Domestic Unrestricted) or 04 (Non-Domestic Economy 7).

Under MHHS, these profiles effectively disappear for settlement purposes. The scale is significant: 2.2-2.3 million Profile Class 03 and 04 meters will migrate to half-hourly settlement between September 2025 and May 2027, with the major supplier migration window running August-November 2026. This is the largest structural change in UK electricity markets since privatisation. Ofgem estimates MHHS will deliver £1.5-4.5 billion in net benefits by 2045 through more accurate billing and enabling time-of-use tariffs.

Programme status: The MHHS rollout is already 6.5 months behind schedule due to what Elexon describes as “underestimated complexity” and industry unpreparedness. This delay reflects the sheer scale of migrating millions of meters to a fundamentally different settlement system - but the direction of travel is certain, even if the exact timing shifts.

Your meter may technically keep the “03” label on the bill, but in the background, it is being treated as a half-hourly settled meter (similar to the “00” meters used by large businesses with high energy usage - greater than 100,000 kWh per year).

Why This Creates “Winners and Losers”

The Winners: Businesses with flat loads or those operating off-peak (e.g. night shifts, automated servers, bakeries starting at 4 AM). You have likely been subsidising “peaky” businesses for years. Your rates should logically fall.

The Losers: Businesses with intense “Peak” usage (e.g. a restaurant firing up electric ovens at 6 PM). Previously, you were “profiled” as average. Now, your supplier sees the true cost of serving you. Expect your contract renewal offers to reflect this higher risk.

Infographic showing cheap off-peak power periods versus expensive peak-time periods under MHHS, with time-of-day pricing bands


The “Bear Traps” for Business Owners

1. The 2027 Smart Meter Rule

The Department for Energy Security and Net Zero (DESNZ) confirmed a new rule on 1 September 2026: from 1 September 2027, when suppliers enter into new fixed-term contracts with small and medium business sites, the contract must include a term that the customer “has, or agrees to have, smart or advanced meters installed”. Suppliers must start telling customers about the change from 1 January 2027.

The Real Reason: This isn’t just about supplier risk - it is about Grid Visibility. To manage a Net Zero grid running on wind and solar, the National Grid needs to see supply and demand in real-time. If your business doesn’t have a smart meter, you are a “black hole” in their data.

What it means for you: You don’t need a smart meter already fitted to sign a fixed contract - agreeing to have one installed is enough. A binding consumer protection code also applies from 1 September 2027, and DESNZ says it ensures customers are “not penalised where the delay to the smart meter installation is outside of the customer’s control”. If you have no fixed contract when yours ends, you stay on your supplier’s out-of-contract rates until you agree one.

2. The “Passthrough” Shock

Some brokers may push you onto “Passthrough” contracts where network charges (DUoS) are billed based on actuals. Understanding the difference between good and bad brokers is essential before signing any contract.

The Trap: Under MHHS, network charges are allocated precisely to Red/Amber/Green time bands. If you don’t understand your load shape, a “cheap” unit rate contract could explode with hidden network charges during peak hours.

3. The “Legacy Meter” Worry (SMETS1)

Do you have an older smart meter (SMETS1) that went “dumb” when you switched supplier?

The Fix: Don’t panic. The Data Communications Company (DCC) (opens in new tab) is currently rolling out a remote software update to upgrade these meters. They will become fully smart again without you needing to change the hardware.

Timeline of MHHS and the smart meter rule: settlement goes live on 22 September 2025, suppliers start telling customers on 1 January 2027, migration completes in May 2027, and from 1 September 2027 new fixed contracts need a smart or advanced meter


Free Smart Meter Upgrades - You’ve Already Paid For It

Many business owners assume getting a smart meter involves costs or hassle. The reality is simpler.

Is the upgrade free? Yes. Almost every major UK supplier (British Gas, E.ON, SSE, etc.) installs smart meters for small businesses at no upfront cost. The cost is socialised across the market via standing charges, so you have technically already paid for it - you might as well get the hardware.

How to request one:

  1. Call your current supplier’s business line
  2. Ask for a “non-domestic smart meter installation”
  3. They will schedule an engineer visit (typically 30-60 minutes)
  4. No disruption to your supply during installation

Why do it now? From 1 September 2027, new fixed contracts for small and medium sites will require a smart or advanced meter, or your agreement to have one installed. Getting it done before your next renewal means one less condition to deal with when you sign.


How Meet George Helps (We Handle The Complexity)

MHHS is a good thing for the grid, but it is a headache for business owners. You shouldn’t need a degree in data science to pay your electricity bill.

Meet George is making your switching experience simpler.

Forensic Data Extraction: When you upload a bill, our AI extracts your MPAN and accesses your half-hourly data directly from the grid.

Load Shape Analysis: We analyse when you use power. Are you a “peaky” user? Do you have an “04” Economy 7 profile?

Automated Rate Matching: Our engine pulls the most eligible quotes for your specific profile. We filter out the tariffs that punish your usage shape and showcase the ones that reward it.

Free Upgrade Guidance: If our analysis shows you are missing a smart meter, we guide you to request a free upgrade from your supplier (a standard service included in your standing charge).

The grid is getting more complex. Your switching experience should get simpler.


The Strategic Response: On-Site Generation and Storage

If your business operates during peak hours and you cannot shift your usage, there is another option: stop drawing from the grid during expensive periods altogether.

On-site solar panels and battery storage allow you to generate and store cheap power during the day, then use it during the 4-7 PM peak when grid electricity is most expensive. Under MHHS, this strategy becomes significantly more valuable because the price differential between peak and off-peak is no longer hidden in averages - it is real and measurable.

The Maths: If peak electricity costs 35p/kWh and off-peak costs 15p/kWh, every kWh you self-generate or discharge from a battery during peak hours saves you 20p. For a business using 50 kWh during the evening peak, that is £10/day or £3,650/year in avoided grid costs.

The Double Win: Beyond bill reduction, businesses with batteries and flexible loads can now earn revenue by participating in Demand Side Response (DSR) programmes. The same regulatory changes enabling MHHS have opened flexibility markets to SMEs. Your battery is not just a cost-avoidance tool - it can become an income-generating asset.

If MHHS is going to penalise your peak usage, the smart response is to ensure you are not drawing from the grid during those expensive windows. Learn how DSR can turn your energy bill into income.


What You Should Do Now

Step 1: Check Your Profile Class

Find your MPAN on your electricity bill (the “S” box). The first two digits on the top line are your Profile Class. If it’s 03 or 04, you’re currently on estimated billing that will change under MHHS.

Step 2: Request a Smart Meter Upgrade

Contact your current supplier and request a free smart meter installation. Major suppliers like British Gas, E.ON, and SSE install these at no upfront cost - the cost is already socialised in your standing charge.

Step 3: Analyse Your Load Shape

Understand when you use power. Are you “peaky” (high usage 4-7 PM) or “flat” (consistent throughout the day)? This determines whether MHHS will help or hurt your costs.

Step 4: Switch Before Renewal

Use a platform like Meet George to compare quotes that match your specific load profile. Avoid tariffs that punish peak usage if that’s when you operate.


The Bottom Line

For decades, UK small businesses have been billed on a “guesstimate.” That ends in 2025.

If you look at your electricity bill today, find the “S” box (your MPAN). The first two digits on the top line are likely 03 or 04. This code tells the grid: “We don’t know exactly when this business uses power, so we’ll just assume they are average.”

This system has shielded inefficient businesses for years. If you used massive amounts of power at 5 PM (the most expensive time of day), you paid the same rate as a business using it at 2 PM.

MHHS changes that. The question is whether you’re positioned to benefit - or pay the price.


Ready to understand your load shape? Learn how to switch business energy suppliers the right way, or discover how MHHS affects volume tolerance and billing in more detail.


Sources & Further Reading:

Bill check

What does this mean for your bill?

Upload your latest bill. In seconds George shows your all-in price per kWh next to the average for businesses your size, your standing charge as a yearly cost, and whether you're in your switching window.

  • Result in seconds
  • No account needed
  • No sales calls

Found this article useful?

Share it with others who also might benefit

FAQs

Common questions

Straight answers about business energy.

MHHS is a regulatory change requiring all UK electricity meters to be settled on actual half-hourly usage data rather than estimated profiles. Since migration began in September 2025, suppliers have been moving to settlement based on your real consumption patterns rather than assuming you're 'average'. This creates winners (off-peak users) and losers (peak-time users).

Migration to half-hourly settlement began on 22 September 2025, and Elexon expects to complete it in May 2027. Separately, from 1 September 2027 new fixed-term contracts for small and medium business sites must include a term that the customer has, or agrees to have, a smart or advanced meter installed.

It depends on your load shape. Businesses with flat loads or off-peak usage (night shifts, bakeries starting at 4 AM) may see rates fall as they've been subsidising 'peaky' businesses. Businesses with intense peak usage (5-7 PM) may see rates rise as suppliers charge for the true cost of serving them.

From 1 September 2027, a new fixed-term contract for a small or medium business site must include a term that you have, or agree to have, a smart or advanced meter installed - so agreeing to an installation is enough to sign. The government confirmed this on 1 September 2026, along with a binding consumer protection code under which you should not be penalised if the installation is delayed for reasons outside your control. Suppliers must start telling customers about the change from 1 January 2027.

Profile Class 03 (Non-Domestic Unrestricted) and 04 (Non-Domestic Economy 7) are classifications that tell suppliers to estimate your usage based on generic patterns. Under MHHS, these profiles disappear for settlement purposes - your meter is treated like a half-hourly settled meter regardless of the label.

Yes. Almost every major UK supplier (British Gas, E.ON, SSE, etc.) installs smart meters for small businesses at no upfront cost. The cost is socialised across the market via standing charges, so you have technically already paid for it - you might as well get the hardware.

SMETS1 meters are older smart meters that sometimes went 'dumb' when you switched supplier. The Data Communications Company (DCC) is rolling out remote software updates to upgrade these meters. They will become fully smart again without you needing to change the hardware.

Joshua Winterton - CEO and Co-Founder of Meet George

Joshua is the CEO and Co-Founder of Meet George. With experience in tech, AI, and energy markets, he's building tools to make business energy switching transparent and effortless. Previously, he's worked in startups and commercial strategy roles.

Ask AI about Meet George: